Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 25

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Villanovense		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.9	2.1
	3.22	3.16	2.25
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (4.33)	3.03 ↓ (3.13)	2.18 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
28%

Draw
30.1%

UCAM Murcia
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

29.5%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

29%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villanovense's performance.

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UCAM Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villanovense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UCAM Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villanovense - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villanovense won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

UCAM Murcia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Villanovense won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Villanovense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.02.25	Xerez Deportivo - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Villanovense - Don Benito	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Minera - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Villanovense - San Fernando	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	Almeria B - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTTL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.02.25	UCAM Murcia - Linense	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Águilas - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	UCAM Murcia - Orihuela	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Cadiz CF B - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	UCAM Murcia - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.10.24	UCAM Murcia - Villanovense	1:1
31.03.19	Villanovense - UCAM Murcia	1:1
11.11.18	UCAM Murcia - Villanovense	2:1
15.04.18	Villanovense - UCAM Murcia	2:0
19.11.17	UCAM Murcia - Villanovense	0:0
26.03.16	Villanovense - UCAM Murcia	0:1
08.11.15	UCAM Murcia - Villanovense	2:1

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