Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Villanovense		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.15	2.85	2.33
	3.36	2.89	2.42
	3.22	2.87	2.33
	3.2	2.95	2.32
	3.15	2.85	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.85)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
28.8%

Draw
32%

San Fernando
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Villanovense - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Abreu ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Nunez B. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Martinez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 2 - 2, de Vicente R. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villanovense won 1.

Villanovense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Fernando is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Villanovense won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 0.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Villanovense won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.01.25	Almeria B - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Villanovense - Antoniano	1:4 ✺
12.01.25	La Unión - Villanovense	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Granada B - Villanovense	2:2 ✺
15.12.24	Villanovense - Linares Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTW
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.01.25	San Fernando - Linense	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Águilas - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	San Fernando - Orihuela	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	San Fernando - Cadiz CF B	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - San Fernando	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.09.24	San Fernando - Villanovense	3:1
10.02.19	San Fernando - Villanovense	2:0
23.09.18	Villanovense - San Fernando	0:0
07.01.18	Villanovense - San Fernando	0:0
19.08.17	San Fernando - Villanovense	0:0
16.04.17	San Fernando - Villanovense	0:1
20.11.16	Villanovense - San Fernando	1:0

Villanovense - San Fernando: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide