Match Info

Date: 28 February 2021, Sunday


	Estoril Praia		Benfica B

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.57	3.5	5.5
	1.55	3.4	6
	1.59	3.7	5.6
	1.61	3.78	6.54
	1.62	3.6	5.8
	1.58	3.8	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	3.63 ↓ (3.69)	5.86 ↓ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril Praia
58.7%

Draw
25.5%

Benfica B
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

25%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

14.9%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estoril Praia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Estoril Praia - Benfica B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Primeira Liga and 7).

Recent matches Estoril is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Benfica B is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Estoril is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Estoril won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril Praia
Portuguese Liga 2
21.02.21	Leixões - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
16.02.21	Estoril Praia - Académico de Viseu	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.02.21	Estoril Praia - Benfica	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.02.21	Estoril Praia - Académica Coimbra	1:2 ✺
02.02.21	Arouca - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLL
- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
22.02.21	Benfica B - Mafra	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Chaves - Benfica B	0:0 ✺
07.02.21	Benfica B - Casa Pia	2:0 ✺
31.01.21	Vilafranquense - Benfica B	2:2 ✺
25.01.21	Porto B - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.20	Benfica B - Estoril Praia	0:1
27.01.20	Estoril Praia - Benfica B	1:0
11.08.19	Benfica B - Estoril Praia	2:1
31.03.19	Estoril Praia - Benfica B	1:3
30.11.18	Benfica B - Estoril Praia	1:0

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