Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 14

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Estoril U23		Leiria U23

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.55	3.6
	1.81	3.82	4.03
	1.78	3.9	3.86	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.7
	1.89	3.77	3.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)	3.69 ↓ (3.75)	3.77 (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril U23
50.7%

Draw
24.9%

Leiria U23
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

24.8%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

24%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Leiria U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril U23 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria U23 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Estoril U23 - Leiria U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 1 - 0, Montes J. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 1, Xavier J. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Estoril U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Estoril U23 has had a series of away games.

Recently, Leiria U23 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Estoril U23 is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Estoril U23 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Estoril U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Estoril U23	7	3	4	0	16:12	4	13
14	Leiria U23	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
23.03.26	Portimonense U23 - Estoril U23	1:1 ✺
16.03.26	Estoril U23 - Farense U23	1:0 ✺
05.03.26	Maritimo U23 - Estoril U23	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Estoril U23	0:0 ✺
19.02.26	Gil Vicente U23 - Estoril U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWTL
- Leiria U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
24.03.26	Leiria U23 - Farense U23	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Leiria U23 - Maritimo U23	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Leiria U23 - Vizela U23	4:2 ✺
09.03.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Leiria U23	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Leiria U23 - Gil Vicente U23	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
24.01.26	Leiria U23 - Estoril U23	2:3
09.12.25	Estoril U23 - Leiria U23	2:2
23.09.25	Leiria U23 - Estoril U23	3:0

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