Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 1

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Leiria U23		Farense U23

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.44	3.68	1.93
	3.36	3.79	1.97	Watch
	3.2	3.3	1.95
	3.39	3.48	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.99)	3.53 ↓ (3.58)	1.96 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria U23
27.6%

Draw
25.8%

Farense U23
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

25.9%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

25.1%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Farense U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria U23 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense U23 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Leiria U23 - Farense U23 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Leiria U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Farense U23 has had a series of home games.

Farense U23 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leiria U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Leiria U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	SC Farense U23	7	3	2	2	11:11	0	11
14	Leiria U23	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiria U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
18.03.26	Leiria U23 - Maritimo U23	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Leiria U23 - Vizela U23	4:2 ✺
09.03.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Leiria U23	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Leiria U23 - Gil Vicente U23	2:3 ✺
24.02.26	Farense U23 - Leiria U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWLL
- SC Farense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
16.03.26	Estoril U23 - Farense U23	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	Farense U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Farense U23 - Vizela U23	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Farense U23 - Leiria U23	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Farense U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
24.02.26	Farense U23 - Leiria U23	1:0
15.12.25	Leiria U23 - Farense U23	0:1
30.09.25	Farense U23 - Leiria U23	0:1

Leiria U23 - Farense U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide