Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Estradense		Choco

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.33
	1.67	3.25	4.2
	1.67	3.3	4.4
	1.68	3.41	4.5
	1.69	3.48	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.9)	3.37 ↑ (3)	4.4 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estradense
53.2%

Draw
26.5%

Choco
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

29%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

25.1%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estradense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estradense's performance.

Choco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choco than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Estradense - Choco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Estradense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Choco has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Estradense is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Estradense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Estradense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.12.22	Atlético Arteixo - Estradense	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Estradense - Silva SD	3:1 ✺
27.11.22	Gran Peña - Estradense	3:0 ✺
20.11.22	Estradense - Viveiro	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Rápido de Bouzas - Estradense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLWL
- CD Choco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.12.22	Choco - Arosa	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Deportivo A Coruña B - Choco	3:1 ✺
27.11.22	Choco - Paiosaco	1:3 ✺
20.11.22	Barco - Choco	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Choco - RC Villalbes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.04.22	Estradense - Choco	1:1
05.12.21	Choco - Estradense	2:4
16.02.20	Estradense - Choco	1:3

Estradense - Choco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide