Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Estradense		Compostela

	1	X	2
	3.45	2.98	2.05
	10.57	4.89	1.28	Watch
	3.6	2.88	2.05
	3.71	3.04	1.99
	3.75	3.1	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↑ (3.35)	3.38 ↑ (3.05)	1.87 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estradense
19.3%

Draw
28.7%

Compostela
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

30%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

28.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estradense's form might have worsened.

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Compostela's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estradense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Compostela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Estradense - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Estradense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Compostela is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Compostela will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estradense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Estradense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Estradense	5	2	1	2	8:9	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.12.25	Viveiro - Estradense	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Somozas - Estradense	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Estradense - Montañeros	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Arosa - Estradense	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Estradense - Atlético Arteixo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLT
- SD Compostela
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.12.25	Compostela - Somozas	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Montañeros - Compostela	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Compostela - Arosa	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Atlético Arteixo - Compostela	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Compostela - Noia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.08.24	Estradense - Compostela	2:0

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