Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday
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Barco |
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Estradense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.4 |
2.78 |
2.2 |
|
 |
3.45 |
2.89 |
2.22 |
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 |
3.4 |
2.75 |
2.2 |
|
 |
3.42 |
2.85 |
2.18 |
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3.4 |
2.9 |
2.16 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(3.4) |
2.83 ↓
(2.88) |
2.19 ↑
(2.18) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Barco
26.6% | Draw
32% | Estradense
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barco than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estradense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Barco - Estradense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barco won 3.Barco is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Estradense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Barco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Estradense might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barco won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Barco won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Barco | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
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| 11 | Estradense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 | | | 22.01.23 | Barco - Estradense | 2:1 | | 18.09.22 | Estradense - Barco | 3:1 | | 01.03.22 | Barco - Estradense | 1:1 | | 19.09.21 | Estradense - Barco | 2:4 | | 10.01.21 | Barco - Estradense | 4:1 | | 27.10.19 | Estradense - Barco | 1:0 |
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