Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Noia |
|
Silva SD |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.02 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
|
 |
2.12 |
3.23 |
3.33 |
 Watch |
 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
|
 |
2.07 |
3.13 |
3.35 |
|
 |
2.12 |
3 |
3.4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(2.02) |
3.07 ↓
(3.2) |
3.34 ↓
(3.38) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Noia
43.4% | Draw
29.5% | Silva SD
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Silva SD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Silva SD than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Noia - Silva SD Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 89', (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', 🟥,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).Noia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Silva SD has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Noia could have a small edge in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Noia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 15 | Silva SD | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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