Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Estradense		Valladares

	1	X	2
	1.87	4.7	2.85
	1.9	4.88	2.8
	1.79	4.55	3.12
	1.87	4.7	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.52)	4.71 ↑ (4.4)	2.91 ↓ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estradense
49.2%

Draw
19.4%

Valladares
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

20.7%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

20.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estradense's form might have worsened.

Valladares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valladares's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estradense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladares than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valladares, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Gomez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 2 - 0, Calvo Nieto B. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 15).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Valladares has had a series of home games.

In this match, Estradense is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estradense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
27.04.25	Arosa - Estradense	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Estradense - Atlético Arteixo	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Somozas - Estradense	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	UD Ourense - Estradense	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Estradense - Betanzos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW
- CD Valladares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
27.04.25	Valladares - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Somozas - Valladares	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Valladares - Sarriana	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Valladares - Boiro	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Valladares - Barbadás	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
21.12.24	Valladares - Estradense	1:1

Estradense - Valladares: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide