Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	UD Ourense		Estradense

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	3.8
	1.85	3.15	4.05
	1.84	3.27	4.2
	1.9	3.32	4.14
	1.85	3.15	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	4.05 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
49.3%

Draw
28.2%

Estradense
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.7%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

27.2%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

UD Ourense - Estradense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Gamarra V. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Bueso P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, Vazquez O. ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, Carlos M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UD Ourense won 1.

UD Ourense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Estradense is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match UD Ourense is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches UD Ourense won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams UD Ourense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
06.04.25	Gran Peña - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	UD Ourense - Somozas	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Boiro - UD Ourense	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	UD Ourense - Villalonga	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	UD Ourense - Arosa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTWWW
- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
06.04.25	Estradense - Betanzos	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Polvorín - Estradense	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Estradense - RC Villalbes	4:1 ✺
16.03.25	Noia - Estradense	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Estradense - Viveiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.12.24	Estradense - UD Ourense	0:2
23.03.24	UD Ourense - Estradense	1:1
05.11.23	Estradense - UD Ourense	0:0
16.04.23	Estradense - UD Ourense	0:0
17.12.22	UD Ourense - Estradense	1:1
28.03.21	Estradense - UD Ourense	2:0

Upcoming Matches