Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Arosa		Estradense

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.98	3.25
	2.53	2.37	3.79	Watch
	2.11	3.08	3.31
	2.12	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.12)	2.92 ↓ (3.25)	3.38 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arosa
41.3%

Draw
31.5%

Estradense
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (+1%)

Arosa - Estradense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Rivera J. ⚽,
69', 2 - 0, Gabri Palmas ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Arosa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Arosa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.2:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.11.25	Somozas - Arosa	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Arosa - Montañeros	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Viveiro - Arosa	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Atlético Arteixo - Arosa	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Arosa - Noia	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWTW
- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.11.25	Estradense - Atlético Arteixo	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Noia - Estradense	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Estradense - RC Villalbes	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Barbadás - Estradense	0:4 ✺
19.10.25	Estradense - Alondras	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
27.04.25	Arosa - Estradense	1:0
14.12.24	Estradense - Arosa	1:2
03.03.24	Estradense - Arosa	1:1
15.10.23	Arosa - Estradense	0:0
11.02.23	Estradense - Arosa	1:1
16.10.22	Arosa - Estradense	3:0
12.06.21	Arosa - Estradense	0:0

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