Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 24

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Estrela Vendas Novas		Barreirense

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.2	1.4
	6.4	4.3	1.4
	6.66	4.1	1.46
	6.4	4.3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.43 ↑ (6)	4.23 ↑ (4)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela Vendas Novas
14.2%

Draw
21.5%

Barreirense
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

22.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

21.8%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela Vendas Novas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Barreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela Vendas Novas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Estrela Vendas Novas - Barreirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Estrela Vendas Novas is Relegated to

Estrela Vendas Novas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barreirense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Barreirense is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estrela Vendas Novas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela Vendas Novas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.03.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Fabril do Barreiro	1:4 ✺
09.03.25	Operário - Estrela Vendas Novas	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Lusitano GC	0:3 ✺
23.02.25	Serpa - Estrela Vendas Novas	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Moura	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- FC Barreirense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.03.25	Barreirense - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Barreirense	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Barreirense - Estrela da Amadora B	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Operário - Barreirense	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Barreirense - Sintrense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
08.12.24	Barreirense - Estrela Vendas Novas	3:1

Estrela Vendas Novas - Barreirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide