Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 20

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Serpa		Estrela Vendas Novas

	1	X	2
	1.09	7.8	19
	1.11	8.05	18.46
	1.05	9	23
	1.09	7.8	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.16)	8.16 ↑ (5.5)	19.87 ↑ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serpa
84.2%

Draw
11.2%

Estrela Vendas Novas
4.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serpa's performance.

Estrela Vendas Novas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Serpa - Estrela Vendas Novas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Cruz F. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Serpa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Estrela Vendas Novas is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Serpa is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Serpa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.02.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Serpa	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Serpa - Operário	4:0 ✺
02.02.25	Lusitano GC - Serpa	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Serpa - Barreirense	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Serpa - Moura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLWW
- Estrela Vendas Novas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.02.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Moura	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Amora - Estrela Vendas Novas	3:0 ✺
02.02.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Lagoa	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Estrela Vendas Novas	4:1 ✺
19.01.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Sintrense	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
27.10.24	Estrela Vendas Novas - Serpa	0:2

Serpa - Estrela Vendas Novas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide