The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moreirense 37.8%
Draw 29.5%
Estrela da Amadora 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
28.6%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
26.8%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Moreirense - Estrela da Amadora Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Estrela will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Caio (C) 70. Fabiano 26. Maracas 66. Batista G. 2. Travassos 25. Assis A. 21. Rodri 10. Kiko Bondoso 8. Stjepanovic M. 78. Landerson 11. Alanzinho
40. Ribeiro R. (G) 21. Scholze M. 30. Luan Patrick 83. Otavio 24. Langa B. 19. Moreira P. 63. Sola A. 99. Marcus A. 11. Jovane (C) 10. Stoica I. 9. Rodrigo Pinho
Substitutes
13. Ferreira A. (G) 30. Gower J. 23. John N. 4. Kevyn Monteiro 27. Kiko 71. Santos L. 9. Semedo L. 7. Teguia C. 99. Yan Maranhao
80. Alisson Souza 39. Doue G. 17. Encada J. 6. Jansson K. 18. Meireles J. 28. Moustier T. 3. Ni 1. Pinto D. (G) 20. van Hooijdonk S.
Coaches
Costa V.
Bacci C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
12', Caio 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Jovane (Penalty Awarded),
25', Rodrigo Pinho 🟨,
31', Scholze M. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Stoica I. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Rodri 🟨,
45+1', Alanzinho (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 1 - 2, Alanzinho ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Assis A. ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
46', Stjepanovic M. ↓, John N. ↑,
50', Fabiano 🟨,
64', Rodrigo Pinho ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
68', Landerson ↓, Kiko ↑,
68', Alanzinho ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
69', Langa B. ↓, Encada J. ↑,
69', Jovane ↓, Jansson K. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Semedo L. ⚽, Kiko (A),
76', Fabiano ↓, Santos L. ↑,
77', Encada J. 🟨,
81', Sola A. ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
81', Marcus A. ↓, Moustier T. ↑,
90+4', Batista G. 🟨,
90+4', Otavio 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Maracas ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 1.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Moreirense: Martinez A.
(Muscle Injury)
Sousa V.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Estrela: Bernardo Schappo
(Injury)
There are questionable in Moreirense: Michel
(Muscle Injury)
Pinto D.
(Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Estrela: Drame I.
(Injury)
Gbomadu M.
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Estrela
7
2
4
1
14:14
0
10
12
Moreirense
8
2
2
4
8:15
-7
8
Last Results with these Odds
Moreirense - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.9%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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Caio (C) 
Batista G. 
Travassos 
Rodri 
Stjepanovic M. 
Scholze M. 
Langa B. 
Sola A. 
Marcus A. 
Jovane (C) 
Stoica I. 
Gower J. 
Doue G. 
Jansson K. 
Moustier T. 
van Hooijdonk S. 
Bacci C. 
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