Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Engenheiro Sílvio Henriques Cerveira (Anadia)


	Anadia		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.8	1.55
	5.5	3.8	1.5
	6	4	1.52
	5.81	3.88	1.55
	5.76	3.83	1.53
	6	4	1.44
	5.9	4.05	1.54
	6	4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↓ (6.58)	3.92 ↓ (4.33)	1.52 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anadia
15.9%

Draw
23.5%

Estrela da Amadora
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

21.1%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

20.4%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anadia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anadia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Anadia - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 10. Carvalho D. 3. Casagrande P. 8. Erivaldo 99. Farias Y. 26. Gaio P. 6. Izata D. 15. Lucas J. 5. Nuca 19. Silva R. 23. Sinisterra J.	1. Meixedo F. (G) 4. Ferro 6. Igor Jesus 98. Kikas 22. Leo Cordeiro 28. Lima R. 13. Lopes M. (C) 17. Nani 37. Petterson 2. Travassos 25. Varela N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 2)
94', 1 - 2, Rodrigo Pinho ⚽,
95', 🟨,
98', 🟨,
102', 🟨,
106', 🟨,
117', 🟨,
120+3', 1 - 3, Andre Luiz ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Anadia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Estrela is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Estrela is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Anadia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Including matches at home between the teams Anadia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anadia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
05.10.24	São João de Ver - Anadia	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Anadia - Trofense	4:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.24	Anadia - Rabo de Peixe	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.24	Sanjoanense - Anadia	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Anadia - Vilaverdense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWL
- Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal
05.10.24	Gil Vicente - Estrela da Amadora	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Santa Clara - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
16.09.24	Estrela da Amadora - Boavista	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Estrela da Amadora - Casa Pia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
14.12.20	Anadia - Estrela da Amadora	0:1

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