Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Triller TV+


	Estrela da Amadora		Benfica

	1	X	2
	13	6.5	1.2	Watch
	13	6.5	1.21
	12.5	6.4	1.19	Watch
	14.41	6.96	1.22
	10.90	6.17	1.23	Watch
	13	6	1.2	Watch
	13.4	6.06	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.89 ↓ (15.73)	6.37 ↓ (7.19)	1.22 ↑ (1.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
7.3%

Draw
14.8%

Benfica
77.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

80.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	10.5%	73.7%

Estrela da Amadora - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Benfica will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Estrela (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Benfica (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ribeiro R. (G) 79. Chernev A. 14. Bernardo Schappo 30. Luan Patrick 55. Cabral S. 99. Marcus A. 19. Moreira P. 89. Gastao J. 7. Fabio Ronaldo 13. Godoy A. 11. Jovane (C)	1. Trubin A. (G) 17. Dedic A. 4. Silva A. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 26. Dahl S. 8. Aursnes F. 5. Barrenechea E. 20. Rios R. 21. Schjelderup A. 14. Pavlidis V. 9. Ivanovic F.
Substitutes
5. Drame I. 98. Kikas 18. Meireles J. 6. Ndiaye A. 1. Pinto D. (G) 26. Resende J. 9. Rodrigo Pinho 63. Sola A. 10. Stoica I.	7. Akturkoglu K. 39. Araujo H. 18. Barreiro L. 61. Florentino 47. Gouveia T. 3. Obrador R. 64. Oliveira G. 25. Prestianni G. 24. Soares S. (G)
Coaches
Silva L.	Lage B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Gastao J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Otamendi N. 🟨,
58', Chernev A. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Pavlidis V. (Pen),
63', Barrenechea E. 🟨,
64', Gastao J. ↓, Stoica I. ↑,
64', Godoy A. ↓, Kikas ↑,
70', Schjelderup A. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
74', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
82', Marcus A. ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
82', Cabral S. ↓, Resende J. ↑,
84', Rios R. 🟨,
87', Barrenechea E. ↓, Florentino ↑,
87', Ivanovic F. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
90+4', Pavlidis V. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
90+4', Rios R. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
90+6', Rodrigo Pinho 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 0.

Benfica is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Benfica is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Estrela: Ndiaye A. (Injury)

There will not play in Benfica: Araujo T. (Injury) Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Felix N. (Injury) Manu (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Estrela: Jovane (Injury) Montoia G. (Injury) Robinho (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:24. (average 0.7:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 1.3:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal
11.08.25	Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.25	Farense - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
29.07.25	Estrela da Amadora - Belenenses	1:2 penalties ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora	4:0 ✺
11.05.25	Estrela da Amadora - AVS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLL
- SL Benfica
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Benfica - Nice	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Nice - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Super Cup
31.07.25	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Benfica - Fenerbahçe	3:2 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
28.06.25	Benfica - Chelsea	1:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
02.02.25	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	2:3
Taça de Portugal
23.11.24	Benfica - Estrela da Amadora	7:0
Liga Portugal
24.08.24	Benfica - Estrela da Amadora	1:0
29.01.24	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	1:4
19.08.23	Benfica - Estrela da Amadora	2:0
Portuguese League Cup
20.11.22	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	2:3
Taça de Portugal
12.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	0:4

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