Match Info

Baiano U20 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Estrela de Março U20		Bahia U20

	1	X	2
	4.25	4.18	1.51
	3.87	3.7	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (2.87)	3.94 ↑ (3.68)	1.63 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela de Março U20
22.1%

Draw
22.8%

Bahia U20
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

24.3%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

23.9%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela de Março U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estrela de Março U20's form might have worsened.

Bahia U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela de Março U20 than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estrela de Março U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahia U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Estrela de Março U20 - Bahia U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bahia U20 will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bahia U20 will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 1)

Preview

1st leg result: 0-5. 2nd leg.

Recent performances by Estrela Março U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bahia U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bahia U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estrela Março U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Estrela de Março U20
Brazilian Baiano U20
16.08.25	Bahia U20 - Estrela de Março U20	5:0 ✺
09.08.25	Estrela de Março U20 - Ypiranga-BA U20	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Ypiranga-BA U20 - Estrela de Março U20	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Estrela de Março U20 - Leônico U20	4:1 ✺
20.07.25	Leônico U20 - Estrela de Março U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTWW
- Bahia U20
Brazilian Baiano U20
16.08.25	Bahia U20 - Estrela de Março U20	5:0 ✺
09.08.25	Bahia U20 - Alagoinhas U20	4:0 ✺
02.08.25	Alagoinhas U20 - Bahia U20	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Bahia U20 - Jacuipense U20	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Jacuipense U20 - Bahia U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Baiano U20
16.08.25	Bahia U20 - Estrela de Março U20	5:0

Estrela de Março U20 - Bahia U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide