Match Info

BRAZIL: CAPIXABA - ROUND 8

Date: 26 February 2024, Monday


	Estrela do Norte		Rio Branco-VN

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.21	3.04	3.3
	2.16	3.04	3.28
	2.19	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.8)	3.02 ↑ (2.8)	3.21 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela do Norte
41.6%

Draw
30.1%

Rio Branco-VN
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela do Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estrela do Norte's performance.

Rio Branco-VN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Branco-VN might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela do Norte than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estrela do Norte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco-VN than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Branco-VN could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Estrela do Norte - Rio Branco VN Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Estrela do Norte will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernardo (G) 3. Admilton 10. Alex Pixote 9. Andinho 6. Carlinhos 7. Djavan 8. Linnick 11. Nauhan 2. Osvaldir 4. Teteu 5. Vandinho	12. Pedro Zanette (G) 10. Arthur Faria 8. Canario (C) 16. Dodo 15. Gilmar Baiano 11. Marcudinho 9. Marcus Vinicius 7. Pepeu 4. Roberto Junior 3. Ruan Lopes 20. Tiririca H.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Estrela do Norte has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rio Branco-VN is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Estrela do Norte won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Estrela do Norte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela do Norte FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
17.02.24	Jaguare - Estrela do Norte	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Estrela do Norte - Rio Branco AC ES	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Estrela do Norte	2:0 ✺
01.02.24	Estrela do Norte - Porto Vitória	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Noroeste - Estrela do Norte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Rio Branco-VN
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
16.02.24	Serra - Rio Branco-VN	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Rio Branco-VN - Noroeste	1:1 ✺
06.02.24	Rio Branco-VN - Jaguare	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Rio Branco AC ES - Rio Branco-VN	1:0 ✺
31.01.24	Rio Branco-VN - Desportiva Ferroviaria	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
13.02.22	Rio Branco-VN - Estrela do Norte	1:1
24.04.21	Estrela do Norte - Rio Branco-VN	2:2
03.02.20	Estrela do Norte - Rio Branco-VN	1:2

Estrela do Norte - Rio Branco-VN: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide