Match Info

BRAZIL: CAPIXABA - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpio Perim (Venda Nova do Imigrante)


	Rio Branco-VN		Desportiva Ferroviaria

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.95	2.5
	2.7	3	2.55
	2.84	2.89	2.5
	2.7	3.08	2.43
	2.7	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.22)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)	2.51 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco-VN
33.5%

Draw
30.4%

Desportiva Ferroviaria
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

31.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco-VN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Branco-VN's form might have worsened.

Desportiva Ferroviaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Desportiva Ferroviaria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco-VN than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Branco-VN, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportiva Ferroviaria than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Desportiva Ferroviaria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pedro Zanette (G) 10. Arthur Faria 6. Bruno Barbosa 2. Caio Ferraz 8. Canario 13. Henrique 11. Marcudinho 9. Marcus Vinicius 7. Pepeu 3. Ruan Lopes 20. Tiririca H.	12. Peixe (G) 7. Adryan 17. Dodo 2. Julio Henrique 23. Patrick 8. Rafael Gelatti 6. Ramon Pereira 11. Ramos Souza L. F. 4. Theo Kruger 3. Victor Massaia (C) 9. Victor Rangel
Substitutes
5. Alexandre 23. Bersan 16. Dodo 14. Gabriel Jordan 15. Gilmar Baiano 21. Iago Nogueira 22. Juan 18. Magnor 1. Pedro (G) 25. Ronaldy 17. Waschington 19. William Bersan	14. Ale Santos 5. Edson Baiano 16. Guilherme 15. Jalysson 25. Jean 1. Kennedy (G) 18. Lima T. 22. Luan Gabriel 13. Lucimario 19. Rafael Carioca 21. Ventura A.

Preview

1st leg.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rio Branco-VN won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Branco-VN won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco-VN
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
02.03.24	Rio Branco-VN - Vitória ES	2:1 ✺
26.02.24	Estrela do Norte - Rio Branco-VN	0:0 ✺
16.02.24	Serra - Rio Branco-VN	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Rio Branco-VN - Noroeste	1:1 ✺
06.02.24	Rio Branco-VN - Jaguare	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTWTT
- Desportiva Ferroviaria
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
02.03.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Porto Vitória	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Noroeste - Desportiva Ferroviaria	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Nova Venécia	1:1 ✺
08.02.24	Vitória ES - Desportiva Ferroviaria	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Estrela do Norte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
31.01.24	Rio Branco-VN - Desportiva Ferroviaria	3:3
20.02.22	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco-VN	2:2
08.05.21	Rio Branco-VN - Desportiva Ferroviaria	2:0

Rio Branco-VN - Desportiva Ferroviaria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide