The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estrella del Sur 39.9%
Draw 36.3%
Juventud Unida de San Miguel 23.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.5%
31%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
30.7%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrella del Sur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Juventud Unida de San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud Unida de San Miguel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrella del Sur than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida de San Miguel than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud Unida de San Miguel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Estrella del Sur - Juventud Unida de San Miguel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Lopez R. ⚽,
23', Vega A. 🟥,
30', 2 - 0, Bravo T. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Arreguin E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Estrella del Sur has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:5 (averaging 0.3:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Estrella del Sur against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.