Match Info

Primera C - Round 29

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Lugano		Estrella del Sur

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.82	3	Watch
	2.4	2.86	2.89
	2.41	2.91	2.99	Watch
	2.35	2.8	2.85
	2.46	2.87	3.18
	2.32	2.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.63)	2.85 ↑ (2.8)	2.99 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
38%

Draw
31.7%

Estrella del Sur
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

31.8%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

32.3%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Estrella del Sur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrella del Sur than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Lugano - Estrella del Sur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Torres L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 1, Gelpi M. (Penalty Awarded),
81', 🟥,

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lugano holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Lugano has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Lugano - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 33.89%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Estrella del Sur - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.28%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
12.09.26	Lugano - Leones de Rosario	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Puerto Nuevo - Lugano	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Lugano - Berazategui	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Leandro N. Alem - Lugano	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Lugano - Club Luján	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWTWL
- Estrella del Sur de Alejandro Korn
Argentinian Primera C
12.09.26	Estrella del Sur - Deportivo Yupanqui	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Berazategui - Estrella del Sur	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Estrella del Sur - Victoriano Arenas	1:1 ✺
24.08.26	Centro Español - Estrella del Sur	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Cañuelas - Estrella del Sur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
23.05.26	Estrella del Sur - Lugano	3:2

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