Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 8

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	1.79	3	5.5	Watch
	1.78	2.98	5.3	Watch
	1.85	2.96	6.57
	1.82	2.87	6.06	Watch
	1.85	2.8	5
	1.82	2.98	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.83)	2.93 ↑ (2.92)	5.65 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
51.5%

Draw
31.9%

Central Norte
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

32%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

29.4%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Central Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Central Norte will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campisi N. (G) 4. Bernardi B. 2. Benitez J. 6. Quinteros F. 3. Squie T. 7. Ardiles F. 8. Sena F. 5. Melo R. 10. Correa J. 11. Acosta E. 9. Rostagno D.	1. Vazquez E. (G) 4. Rosales M. 2. Felissia L. 6. Lamosa A. 3. Sanz P. 8. Villarreal M. 5. Mancuso G. 10. Vedoya F. 11. Moravec M. 7. Mateo J. 9. Lopez J.
Substitutes
13. Albarracin M. 16. Camacho S. 17. Degregorio B. 14. Dure F. 20. Lucero J. 18. Melo A. 19. Salas T. 15. Sanchez de Leon M. 12. Vila F. (G)	20. Abondetto R. 15. Aleo A. 19. Alvez G. 16. Bustinduy A. 14. Castilla G. 12. Hass F. (G) 18. Isa Luna K. 13. Padilla M. 17. Ribero M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Ardiles F. ⚽, Acosta E. (A),
29', Bernardi B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Squie T. 🟨,
67', Squie T. ↓, Sanchez de Leon M. ↑,
67', Melo R. ↓, Salas T. ↑,
67', Acosta E. ↓, Albarracin M. ↑,
67', Vedoya F. ↓, Alvez G. ↑,
67', Mateo J. ↓, Isa Luna K. ↑,
68', Sanchez de Leon M. 🟨,
74', Rostagno D. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
79', Sena F. ↓, Degregorio B. ↑,
83', Rosales M. ↓, Abondetto R. ↑,
83', Isa Luna K. ↓, Bustinduy A. ↑,
88', Sanz P. ↓, Aleo A. ↑,
90+2', Correa J. 🟨,
90+2', Mancuso G. 🟨,
90+3', Salas T. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

CA Estudiantes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Central Norte has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, CA Estudiantes is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.03.26	Chacarita Juniors - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Madryn - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
23.02.26	Mitre - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLL
- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.03.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Central Norte - All Boys	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Los Andes - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Deportivo Morón - Central Norte	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Central Norte - Colón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.06.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Central Norte	0:1
23.02.25	Central Norte - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1

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