Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 5

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.65	4.1	Watch
	2.08	2.78	4.05
	2.21	2.71	4.4
	2.15	2.72	4.3	Watch
	2.1	2.63	4
	2.13	2.73	4.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.2)	2.7 ↑ (2.66)	4.19 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
43.5%

Draw
34.4%

Defensores de Belgrano
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

34.5%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Defensores will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CA Estudiantes: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campisi N. (G) 4. Dure F. 2. Benitez J. 6. Albarracin M. 3. Nunez T. 8. Sena F. 5. Melo R. 10. Correa J. 11. Squie T. 7. Melo A. 9. Rostagno D.	1. Medina A. (G) 4. Magallanes D. 2. Perez A. 6. Vaquer N. 3. Sanchez F. 5. Gutierrez I. 8. De Tomasso J. 10. Benitez A. 11. Moyano P. 7. Aguirre E. 9. Gonzalez E.
Substitutes
13. Ardiles F. 17. Camacho S. 15. Degregorio B. 20. Lucero J. 18. Salas T. 16. Sanchez de Leon M. 19. Vera I. 12. Vila F. (G)	20. Aquilino G. 17. Ciccolini L. 18. Garcia D. 16. Gomez B. 15. Jerez Silva L. 13. Monteagudo J. 12. Nocetti N. (G) 14. Perez I. 19. Tcherkaski F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Gonzalez E. ⚽, Moyano P. (A),
24', Sena F. 🟨,
26', Melo R. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Gonzalez E. ⚽, Aguirre E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sena F. ↓, Ardiles F. ↑,
46', Melo R. ↓, Degregorio B. ↑,
46', Dure F. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
46', Gonzalez E. ↓, Dellarossa J. ↑,
57', Camacho S. 🟨,
58', Melo A. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
59', Moyano P. ↓, Ciccolini L. ↑,
68', Sanchez F. 🟨,
71', Nunez T. ↓, Vera I. ↑,
71', Gutierrez I. ↓, Jerez Silva L. ↑,
73', Benitez J. 🟨,
76', Albarracin M. 🟨,
83', Benitez A. 🟨,
85', Benitez A. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
85', Aguirre E. ↓, Perez I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 2.

In this match, CA Estudiantes is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Estudiantes de Caseros - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.65%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Defensores de Belgrano - the odds 3.84 are the expected chance of winning is 23.88%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.03.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
23.02.26	Mitre - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Racing de Córdoba - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
18.01.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.11.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.02.26	Los Andes - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Godoy Cruz	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Deportivo Morón - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Central Norte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.08.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0
05.04.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1
23.07.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0
Argentinian Primera B
13.04.18	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0
26.11.17	Estudiantes de Caseros - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0
05.07.17	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1
13.05.17	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1

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