The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de Caseros 52.2%
Draw 30.5%
Mitre 17.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
31.1%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
29.7%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Caseros's performance.
Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mitre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
0%
10%
Estudiantes de Caseros - Mitre Predictions
Users Predictions:
Estudiantes de Caseros will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 11. Acosta E. 9. Acosta M. 4. Albarracin M. 7. Ardiles F. 2. Benitez J. 6. Caro Nicolas 10. Correa J. 5. Melo R. 8. Sena F. 3. Squie T.
1. Ledesma J. (G) 5. Alessandroni J. 4. Antunes I. 11. Ferrari F. 7. Garrido O. 6. Herdt G. 9. Machado M. 2. Minissale P. 3. Romero M. 10. Rosales S. 8. Vazquez M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
4', Romero M. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
16', 1 - 0, Ardiles F. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Ardiles F. ⚽, Acosta E. (A),
30', 3 - 0, Acosta M. ⚽, Squie T. (A),
34', Rosales S. ↓, Mendoza L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', Squie T. ↓, Vera I. ↑,
71', Acosta M. ↓, Nunez T. ↑,
77', Vazquez M. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
77', Garrido O. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
77', Rodriguez S. ↓, Zarate J. ↑,
81', Correa J. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
81', Acosta E. ↓, Almiron E. ↑,
85', Sena F. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 1.
CA Estudiantes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Mitre has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, CA Estudiantes is considered a favorite.
We predict that CA Estudiantes will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).
Watch
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