Match Info

Date: 18 June 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Barraza J. (Arg)


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Sacachispas

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	6
	1.6	3.5	5.75
	1.62	3.3	5.4
	1.57	3.4	5.8
	1.63	3.55	6.43
	1.6	3.3	5.8
	1.63	3.4	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.66)	3.42 ↑ (3.38)	5.85 ↑ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
57.2%

Draw
27%

Sacachispas
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

27.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

28.4%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	43.7%	6.2%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Sacachispas Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Sacachispas will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CA Estudiantes: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 29).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match CA Estudiantes is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches CA Estudiantes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams CA Estudiantes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.06.22	Mitre - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
04.06.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
27.05.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
21.05.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Quilmes	2:1 ✺
14.05.22	Deportivo Maipú - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWW
- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.06.22	Sacachispas - Santamarina de Tandil	2:1 ✺
05.06.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Sacachispas	1:1 ✺
28.05.22	Sacachispas - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
22.05.22	Chacarita Juniors - Sacachispas	0:1 ✺
14.05.22	Sacachispas - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
18.05.19	Estudiantes de Caseros - Sacachispas	4:2
10.12.18	Sacachispas - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1
17.04.18	Estudiantes de Caseros - Sacachispas	0:0
29.11.17	Sacachispas - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:2

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