Match Info

Date: 5 June 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)

Referee: Bejas N. (Arg)


	Atlético de Rafaela		Sacachispas

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	4
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.08	3.15	3.35
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.15	3.04	3.98
	2.15	2.9	3.4
	2.07	3.18	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.9)	3.04 ↓ (3.22)	3.64 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
44.1%

Draw
30.5%

Sacachispas
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

29%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

29.8%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Sacachispas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético de Rafaela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	46.9%	15.6%

Atlético de Rafaela - Sacachispas Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 12 - 37.5%). Sacachispas will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 46.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 64.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 30 and 32).

Atlético de Rafaela is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sacachispas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sacachispas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético de Rafaela is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.05.22	Mitre - Atlético de Rafaela	2:2 ✺
22.05.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
15.05.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
07.05.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Quilmes	1:2 ✺
02.05.22	Deportivo Maipú - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLLT
- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.05.22	Sacachispas - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
22.05.22	Chacarita Juniors - Sacachispas	0:1 ✺
14.05.22	Sacachispas - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
07.05.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Sacachispas	1:1 ✺
02.05.22	Sacachispas - San Martín de Tucumán	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWLTL

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