Match Info

Date: 28 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Beto Larrosa (Villa Soldati)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)


	Sacachispas		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.87
	2.7	2.7	2.8
	2.75	2.63	2.8
	2.6	2.75	2.85
	2.88	2.77	2.98
	2.62	2.7	2.88
	2.77	2.64	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.06)	2.73 ↓ (2.87)	2.87 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacachispas
33.9%

Draw
33.9%

Guillermo Brown
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

32.4%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

33.5%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacachispas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guillermo Brown could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	61.5%	15.4%

Sacachispas - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sacachispas will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 32 and 16).

Sacachispas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guillermo Brown is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.05.22	Chacarita Juniors - Sacachispas	0:1 ✺
14.05.22	Sacachispas - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
07.05.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Sacachispas	1:1 ✺
02.05.22	Sacachispas - San Martín de Tucumán	0:2 ✺
23.04.22	Tristán Suárez - Sacachispas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLTLL
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.05.22	Guillermo Brown - Mitre	2:1 ✺
16.05.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
08.05.22	Guillermo Brown - Independiente Rivadavia	3:2 ✺
02.05.22	Quilmes - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Maipú	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLL

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