Match Info

Date: 22 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Chacarita Juniors (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Broggi J. (Arg)


	Chacarita Juniors		Sacachispas

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.5
	1.66	3.5	5
	1.66	3.4	4.9
	1.65	3.5	4.8
	1.68	3.67	5.53
	1.67	3.4	4.8
	1.65	3.65	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	3.53 ↓ (3.59)	5.07 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacarita Juniors
55.5%

Draw
26.2%

Sacachispas
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

25.8%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

25.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	58.8%	17.6%

Chacarita Juniors - Sacachispas Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Chacarita will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Sacachispas will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 34).

Chacarita is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sacachispas is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chacarita could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chacarita is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.05.22	Mitre - Chacarita Juniors	0:3 ✺
08.05.22	Chacarita Juniors - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
30.04.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Chacarita Juniors	2:3 ✺
23.04.22	Chacarita Juniors - Quilmes	2:2 ✺
17.04.22	Deportivo Maipú - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WTWTT
- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.05.22	Sacachispas - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
07.05.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Sacachispas	1:1 ✺
02.05.22	Sacachispas - San Martín de Tucumán	0:2 ✺
23.04.22	Tristán Suárez - Sacachispas	2:1 ✺
18.04.22	Sacachispas - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLLT

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