Match Info

Copa Venezuela - Round 1

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida (Mérida)


	Estudiantes de Mérida		Atlético El Vigía

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	5.6
	1.59	3.57	5.07
	1.58	3.71	5.35	Watch
	1.63	3.67	5.1
	1.57	3.75	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.53)	3.69 ↑ (3.65)	5.34 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Mérida
57.9%

Draw
24.9%

Atlético El Vigía
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

24.5%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Atlético El Vigía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético El Vigía Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Hernandez J. ⚽,
63', 2 - 0, Moreno J. ⚽,
66', Suarez R. 🟥,
84', 3 - 0, Plazas H. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 0, Fernandez M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 4.

El Vigía is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Est de Mérida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Est de Mérida is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Est de Mérida won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
26.04.25	Yaracuyanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Portuguesa Acarígua - Estudiantes de Mérida	4:2 ✺
05.04.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Metropolitanos	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL
- Atlético El Vigía
Venezuelan Segunda Division
01.06.25	Atlético El Vigía - Héroes de Falcón	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Puerto Cabello B - Atlético El Vigía	0:0 ✺
14.05.25	Atlético El Vigía - Trujillanos	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Real Fronteras - Atlético El Vigía	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Atlético El Vigía - Ureña	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
27.06.24	Atlético El Vigía - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:0
06.06.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético El Vigía	4:2
18.09.19	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético El Vigía	4:2
04.09.19	Atlético El Vigía - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:2
Venezuelan Primera Division
06.04.14	Atlético El Vigía - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:1
09.11.13	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético El Vigía	3:3
17.04.13	Atlético El Vigía - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1

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