The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yaracuyanos 27.8%
Draw 27.1%
Estudiantes de Mérida 45.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
27.2%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
26.5%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yaracuyanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yaracuyanos's form might have worsened.
Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estudiantes de Mérida's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yaracuyanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estudiantes de Mérida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yaracuyanos - Estudiantes de Mérida Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Ojeda D. (G) 23. Machado S. 19. Cordoba J. B. 2. Morales B. 14. Canon M. 7. Vargas C. 8. Chacon J. 21. Castro M. 11. Rodriguez Qulnones E. D. 9. Perez J. 20. Ordonez E.
1. Rojas T. (G) 3. Marquez J. 27. Molina F. 44. Doldan J. 80. Garcia Mejia M. Y. 13. Mina L. M. 21. Pena A. (C) 23. Fernandez M. 99. Romero A. 9. Hernandez J. 11. Moreno J.
Substitutes
18. Cuero J. 1. Gil Y. (G) 5. Hernandez S. 16. Herrera D. 6. Mendoza C. 88. Navas Barrera V. H. 15. Palacio K. 90. Perez K. 99. Viez V. 30. Villero M.
29. Ardila J. 41. Espinola H. (G) 31. Lacruz Y. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 6. Moreno J. (G) 17. Paez G. 28. Paez M. 71. Rivera J. 37. Vera L.
Coaches
Perez D.
Farias D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Ordonez E. ⚽, Rodriguez Qulnones E. D. (A),
19', Molina F. 🟨,
39', Ordonez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Romero A. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
46', Molina F. ↓, Montilla Maldonado J. A. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Rodriguez Qulnones E. D. ⚽,
63', Pena A. ↓, Lacruz Y. ↑,
63', Fernandez M. ↓, Vera L. ↑,
68', Moreno J. ↓, Paez G. ↑,
70', Rodriguez Qulnones E. D. ↓, Viez V. ↑,
71', Machado S. ↓, Villero M. ↑,
75', Ordonez E. ↓, Navas Barrera V. H. ↑,
76', Perez J. ↓, Cuero J. ↑,
78', 🟨,
90+6', Navas Barrera V. H. 🟥,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Yaracuyanos won 2.
Both teams are in bad shape now.
Yaracuyanos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Est de Mérida will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Yaracuyanos won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:6 (average 0.9:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Yaracuyanos won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).
Watch
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Ojeda D. (G) 
Cordoba J. B. 
Doldan J. 
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