The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de Mérida 28%
Draw 29.1%
Deportivo Táchira 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.2%
27.6%
46.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.9%
26.2%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Deportivo Táchira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Táchira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Deportivo Táchira will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Roberts E. (G) 25. Acosta H. 2. Gutierez J. 44. Caicedo L. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 15. Rivas C. (C) 5. Ramirez Holguin W. S. 16. Lobo J. 14. Ivey R. 9. Hernandez J. 99. Matheus D.
1. Araque A. (G) 45. Provenzano F. 4. Fratta G. 13. Camacho P. (C) 3. Lusnig L. 25. Perez A. 24. Caraballo J. 10. Sosa C. 21. Adamo V. 2. Sanchez J. 9. Pollero R.
Substitutes
77. Caicedo C. 36. Chacon R. 23. Lacruz Y. 17. Magallan C. 13. Maldonado M. 33. Mejias Diego 11. Montero A. 31. Montes G. 24. Moreno J. 10. Pena A. 1. Rojas T. (G)
37. Duarte Arias J. D. 23. Hernandez O. 31. Mendez C. 14. Palmezano B. 7. Penaranda A. 19. Rondon A. 44. Tamiche E. 30. Vargas E. (G) 41. Wilches W. 11. Woiski A. 27. Zuniga L.
Coaches
Gomez J.
Recoba A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Gutierez J. 🟨,
41', Acosta H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Sanchez J. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Lobo J. ⚽, Rivas C. (A),
64', Adamo V. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
64', Sanchez J. ↓, Penaranda A. ↑,
68', Camacho P. 🟨,
73', Caraballo J. ↓, Woiski A. ↑,
73', Provenzano F. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
75', Matheus D. ↓, Lacruz Y. ↑,
76', Hernandez J. ↓, Chacon R. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Chacon R. ⚽,
80', Caicedo L. 🟨,
82', Perez A. ↓, Palmezano B. ↑,
84', Rivas C. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
88', Montilla Maldonado J. A. 🟨,
90+1', Ivey R. ↓, Magallan C. ↑,
90+1', Maldonado M. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
90+6', Montilla Maldonado J. A. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 1.
Estudiantes Mérida has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportivo Táchira is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Deportivo Táchira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:38. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes Mérida won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Dep. Tachira
11
7
2
2
24:14
10
23
7
Estudiantes Merida
11
4
4
3
12:12
0
16
Last Results with these Odds
Estudiantes de Mérida - the odds 3.57 are the expected chance of winning is 26.15%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Deportivo Táchira - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.22%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Acosta H. 
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