The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de Mérida 41.1%
Draw 29.5%
Universidad Central 29.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.1%
27.3%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
26.7%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Estudiantes de Mérida - Universidad Central Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Roberts E. (G) 25. Acosta H. 44. Caicedo L. 4. Rodriguez C. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 11. Montero A. 5. Ramirez Holguin W. S. 15. Rivas C. (C) 99. Matheus D. 9. Hernandez J. 14. Ivey R.
22. Romo R. (G) 28. Ruiz M. 2. Silva K. (C) 25. Hernandez Ochoa J. S. 24. Cumana Y. 30. Gonzalez A. 42. Araujo J. 5. Sole F. 10. Sosa S. 8. Zapata J. 7. Mosquera E.
Substitutes
7. Albarran E. 77. Caicedo C. 36. Chacon R. 2. Gutierez J. 23. Lacruz Y. 16. Lobo J. 13. Maldonado M. 30. Molina F. 31. Montes G. 24. Moreno J. 10. Pena A. 1. Rojas T. (G)
9. Alegria J. 33. Colmenares C. 44. Colmenarez J. 16. De Sousa D. 32. Flores C. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 34. Guzman K. 11. Lugo W. 6. Mottes G. 3. Pabon Delgao S. J. 13. Peraza E. 21. Rodriguez V.
Coaches
Gomez J.
De Oliveira L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Mosquera E. ⚽, Zapata J. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Ramirez Holguin W. S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Zapata J. 🟨,
52', Ramirez Holguin W. S. 🟨,
57', Araujo J. ↓, Alegria J. ↑,
57', Montero A. ↓, Chacon R. ↑,
61', Mosquera E. 🟨,
68', Silva K. 🟨,
71', Sosa S. ↓, Lugo W. ↑,
71', Mosquera E. ↓, Colmenares C. ↑,
79', Matheus D. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
81', Alegria J. 🟨,
82', Zapata J. ↓, De Sousa D. ↑,
82', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
88', Hernandez J. ↓, Albarran E. ↑,
88', Ramirez Holguin W. S. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
88', Acosta H. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 0.
Estudiantes Mérida is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Universidad Central has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Universidad Central may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes Mérida won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Watch
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Roberts E. (G) 
Acosta H. 
Caicedo L. 
Sole F. 
Zapata J. 
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