The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 27.6%
Draw 33.1%
Sarmiento de Junín 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
31.2%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
31.8%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's form might have worsened.
Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarmiento de Junín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
70%
10%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - E Río Cuarto (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. E Río Cuarto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bruera L. (G) 6. Antonini J. 2. Maffini G. (C) 31. Valenti M. 5. Cabrera A. 14. Gonzalez G. 8. Rosane S. 17. Alanis G. 23. Rodriguez F. 22. Valiente M. 77. Hesar I.
12. Ayala T. (G) 20. Gimenez U. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 3. Suarez L. 8. Salle S. 16. Martinez M. 15. Zabala C. 21. Mavilla J. 27. Marabel J. 24. Herrera J.
Substitutes
32. Bajamich M. 3. Banos L. 99. Chala J. 28. Cobos F. 11. Garnerone M. 10. Gonzalez T. 43. Lastra A. (G) 40. Lo Celso F. 45. Lozano R. 29. Quiroga A. 18. Rivero J. 13. Romero F.
1. Arboleda I. (G) 6. Arturia G. 33. Diaz G. 9. Diego Churin 5. Garcia M. 23. Gimenez E. 11. Gonzalez G. 7. Magnin P. 17. Nadruz A. 77. Pasquini N. 10. Renteria J. 29. Santamaria T.
Coaches
Forestello R.
Sava F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Maffini G. (Own goal),
14', Maffini G. 🟨,
42', Gimenez U. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gonzalez G. ↓, Lozano R. ↑,
49', Suarez L. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
62', Rosane S. ↓, Gonzalez T. ↑,
62', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
67', Valiente M. ↓, Bajamich M. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Marabel J. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Herrera J. ↓, Santamaria T. ↑,
82', Salle S. ↓, Arturia G. ↑,
82', Rodriguez F. ↓, Garnerone M. ↑,
82', Alanis G. ↓, Lo Celso F. ↑,
82', Mavilla J. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Recent form of E Río Cuarto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sarmiento is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Sarmiento could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in E Río Cuarto: Fenoglio V.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez L.
(Inactive)
Ruiz M.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J.
(Knee Injury)
Seyral A.
(Inactive)
Villalba C.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, E Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, E Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 34.22%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.