Match Info

BULGARIA: BULGARIAN CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 December 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	SportKlub


	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo		Botev Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	6	3.8	1.6	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.61
	4.75	3.75	1.6	Watch
	5.18	3.88	1.61
	5.18	3.88	1.61
	5	3.7	1.53
	5.4	3.92	1.61	Watch
	4.9	3.6	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (3.7)	3.75 ↑ (3.4)	1.6 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
18%

Draw
24.5%

Botev Plovdiv
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

26.5%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

26%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo's form might have worsened.

Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botev Plovdiv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botev Plovdiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	0%	88%

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Botev Plovdiv Predictions

Users Predictions: Botev Plovdiv will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Guarnone A. (G) 29. Angelov Y. 70. Bakalov D. 24. Boukholda C. 6. Dimov P. 2. Hristov V. 26. Ivanov M. (C) 38. Naydenov V. 77. Nikolov M. 9. Toshev M. 28. Yankov N.	1. Hankic H. (G) 38. Balogiannis K. 30. Baltanov L. 79. Chernev A. 19. Conte A. 31. Emmanuel U. 15. Eto'o J. 17. Minkov N. 21. Nnadi T. 10. Popov I. (C) 9. Sekulic M.
Substitutes
4. Aleksandrov G. 32. Alou O. 15. Angelov G. 11. Budinov I. 14. Dimitrov I. 10. Knezevic L. 1. Martinov A. (G) 7. Stanev K. 25. Stoyanov K.	16. Akere S. 92. Kajzer D. (G) 42. Kazakov I. 88. Kolev K. 18. Papazov D. 14. Steponavicius F. 5. Tamm J. 24. Van Heertum J. 41. Vidolov V.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Etar won 1.

Etar is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Botev Plovdiv is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Botev Plovdiv is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Etar won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 9-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Etar won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.12.23	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Cherno More Varna	1:2 ✺
26.11.23	CSKA Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
18.11.23	Chernomorets Burgas - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:3 ET ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
12.11.23	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:4 ✺
06.11.23	Slavia Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.12.23	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv	0:2 ✺
25.11.23	Botev Plovdiv - Pirin Blagoevgrad	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Levski Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	1:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
08.11.23	Strumska Slava Radomir - Botev Plovdiv	0:3 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.11.23	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.08.23	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Botev Plovdiv	1:2
Bulgarian Cup
21.09.21	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Botev Plovdiv	1:0 ET
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.03.21	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Botev Plovdiv	0:0
Club Friendly
23.01.21	Botev Plovdiv - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:1
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.10.20	Botev Plovdiv - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:1
Club Friendly
31.07.20	Botev Plovdiv - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.07.20	Botev Plovdiv - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:0

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