Match Info

BULGARIA: PARVA LIGA - ROUND 18

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Botev Plovdiv		Pirin Blagoevgrad

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	12	Watch
	1.27	5.25	9.5
	1.25	5.5	11	Watch
	1.28	5.27	11.77
	1.29	5.27	11.77
	1.33	4.5	7.5
	1.27	5.45	11
	1.29	5.4	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.44)	5.21 ↑ (4.39)	10.57 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botev Plovdiv
73.1%

Draw
18%

Pirin Blagoevgrad
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

21.4%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

20.4%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botev Plovdiv's performance.

Pirin Blagoevgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	5.6%	0%

Botev Plovdiv - Pirin Blagoevgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: Botev Plovdiv will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hankic H. (G) 15. Eto'o J. 79. Chernev A. 5. Tamm J. 38. Balogiannis K. 28. Karabelyov Y. 6. Mertens D. 16. Akere S. 10. Popov I. (C) 31. Emmanuel U. 11. Baroan A.	12. Kovalov M. (G) 8. Semeniv D. 38. Dyulgerov A. (C) 29. Bachev M. S. 6. Yordanov A. 4. Batas A. 73. Benguzov V. 11. Tasev I. 20. Souda A. 17. Tyutyukov B. 19. Komano H.
Substitutes
30. Baltanov L. 92. Kajzer D. (G) 88. Kolev K. 17. Minkov N. 21. Nnadi T. 18. Papazov D. 9. Sekulic M. 14. Steponavicius F. 42. Tatarov K.	33. Aleksandrov S. 31. Buchkov A. 14. Diagne M. 1. Kirev M. (G) 25. Kostov I. 9. Kostov S. 83. Popadiyn H. 30. Todorov L. 27. Varbanov G.
Coaches
Kerkez D.	Trenchev I.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botev Plovdiv won 4.

Botev Plovdiv is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Pirin Blagoevgrad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botev Plovdiv could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Botev Plovdiv is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Botev Plovdiv to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Botev Plovdiv won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Botev Plovdiv won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
12.11.23	Levski Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	1:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
08.11.23	Strumska Slava Radomir - Botev Plovdiv	0:3 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.11.23	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:0 ✺
26.10.23	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	6:0 ✺
21.10.23	Botev Vratsa - Botev Plovdiv	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWTWW
- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgarian Cup
18.11.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	2:1 ET ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
11.11.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:1 ✺
03.11.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:0 ✺
26.10.23	Cherno More Varna - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - CSKA Sofia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.07.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Plovdiv	0:0
04.05.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Plovdiv	2:4
15.10.22	Botev Plovdiv - Pirin Blagoevgrad	3:1
06.11.21	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Plovdiv	0:1
24.07.21	Botev Plovdiv - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:1
27.10.17	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Plovdiv	1:2
16.07.17	Botev Plovdiv - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:1

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