Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Ethio Electric		Ethiopia Nigd Bank

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.48	3.05
	2.8	2.3	3.38	Watch
	2.5	2.45	3.1
	2.55	2.66	3.33	Watch
	2.75	2.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.56)	2.44 ↓ (2.76)	3.24 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethio Electric
34.5%

Draw
37.3%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

33.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

33.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethio Electric has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethio Electric than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Nigd Bank Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Eyob G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, Kassahun B. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Hussien H. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).

Ethio Electric has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ethiopia Nigd Bank is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ethio Electric won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ethio Electric won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ethio Electric	38	13	15	10	32:26	6	54
13	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	38	11	14	13	45:45	0	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethio Electric SC
Ethiopian Premier League
09.01.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethio Electric	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Ethio Electric - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
29.12.25	Fasil Kenema - Ethio Electric	1:0 ✺
25.12.25	Ethio Electric - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Mechal - Ethio Electric	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLWT
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
10.01.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
31.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethiopian Medhin	2:1 ✺
25.12.25	Saint George - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
05.06.25	Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:0
14.01.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethio Electric	1:0

Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Nigd Bank: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide