Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday


	Ethiopia Nigd Bank		Arba Minch

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.68	3.1
	2.63	2.49	3.28
	2.56	2.57	3.25	Watch
	2.5	2.45	3.1
	2.46	2.59	3.23
	2.6	2.54	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.17)	2.55 ↓ (2.93)	3.19 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
35.9%

Draw
35.6%

Arba Minch
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

30.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopia Nigd Bank's form might have worsened.

Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopia Nigd Bank, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ethiopia Nigd Bank will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Arba Minch will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Gidey A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Shamena B. ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.71%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
06.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Welwalo Adigrat	1:2 ✺
01.12.25	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:0 ✺
27.11.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:2 ✺
21.11.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTTT
- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
07.12.25	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
02.12.25	Saint George - Arba Minch	1:0 ✺
27.11.25	Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Arba Minch - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
10.04.25	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1
03.10.24	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch	3:1
02.04.17	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch	1:1
25.12.16	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch	2:2

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide