Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 25 December 2025, Thursday


	Saint George		Ethiopia Nigd Bank

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.58	3.05
	2.62	2.57	3.17	Watch
	2.63	2.5	2.9
	2.5	2.62	3.13	Watch
	2.66	2.45	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.08)	2.54 ↓ (2.77)	3.1 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint George
35.1%

Draw
35.6%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

33.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

33%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint George has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint George's form might have worsened.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ethiopia Nigd Bank's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint George, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ethiopia Nigd Bank, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Saint George - Ethiopia Nigd Bank Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Saint George will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Ethiopia Nigd Bank will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Gulilat H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 1 - 1, Daniel N. ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint George won 3.

Saint George is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Saint George won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint George won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint George FC
Ethiopian Premier League
21.12.25	Sidama Coffee - Saint George	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Adama City - Saint George	1:0 ✺
02.12.25	Saint George - Arba Minch	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Ethio Electric - Saint George	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	Saint George - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWLL
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
19.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Welwalo Adigrat	1:2 ✺
01.12.25	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:0 ✺
27.11.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:2 ✺
21.11.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
14.04.25	Saint George - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:1
20.10.24	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Saint George	2:3
23.06.24	Saint George - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1
01.02.24	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Saint George	0:3
24.06.17	Saint George - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:0
13.06.16	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Saint George	0:1

Saint George - Ethiopia Nigd Bank: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide