Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Sheger Ketema		Ethiopia Nigd Bank

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.7	2.5
	2.88	2.68	2.58
	2.96	2.78	2.57	Watch
	2.9	2.6	2.5
	3.03	2.82	2.61
	3	2.75	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.72)	2.72 ↓ (3.03)	2.55 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheger Ketema
31%

Draw
33.4%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

30.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

30%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheger Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Kassaw D. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Gidey A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 11).

Sheger Ketema has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Sheger Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.8%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
30.12.25	Sidama Coffee - Sheger Ketema	2:0 ✺
25.12.25	Sheger Ketema - Hawassa City	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Welayta Dicha - Sheger Ketema	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Sheger Ketema - Bahir Dar Kenema	3:1 ✺
02.12.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Sheger Ketema	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWT
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
31.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethiopian Medhin	2:1 ✺
25.12.25	Saint George - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Welwalo Adigrat	1:2 ✺
01.12.25	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWLL

Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide