Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 25 December 2025, Thursday


	Ethiopia Bunna		Dire Dawa City

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.92	4.15
	1.91	2.75	4.33
	1.82	2.97	4.66
	1.9	3	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)	2.91 ↓ (2.93)	4.37 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Bunna
48.1%

Draw
31.1%

Dire Dawa City
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

31%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

29.9%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Bunna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Dire Dawa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Ethiopia Bunna - Dire Dawa City Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ethiopia Bunna will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Dire Dawa will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ethiopia Bunna: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Abubakar A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 1 - 1, Yakob J. ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, Nassir M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Ethiopia Bunna is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Bunna won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
20.12.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Bunna	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
01.12.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Hadiya Hossana	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopian Medhin	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWWL
- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
21.12.25	Dire Dawa City - Adama City	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Dire Dawa City - Sidama Coffee	0:0 ✺
02.12.25	Mechal - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
27.11.25	Dire Dawa City - Shire Endaselassie	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Fasil Kenema - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
01.05.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Dire Dawa City	2:0
08.01.25	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0
10.03.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Dire Dawa City	1:2
12.10.23	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1
28.04.23	Ethiopia Bunna - Dire Dawa City	4:1
04.11.22	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopia Bunna	3:1
07.05.22	Ethiopia Bunna - Dire Dawa City	2:1

Ethiopia Bunna - Dire Dawa City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide