Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Arba Minch		Ethiopia Bunna

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.62	2.3
	3.74	2.65	2.27
	3.65	2.75	2.26	Watch
	3.6	2.45	2.25
	3.58	2.58	2.3
	3.66	2.62	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.32)	2.61 ↓ (2.74)	2.28 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arba Minch
25.2%

Draw
34.8%

Ethiopia Bunna
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

33.2%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

31.9%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Ethiopia Bunna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 2.

Arba Minch is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ethiopia Bunna has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ethiopia Bunna will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Arba Minch won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ethiopia Bunna - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.34%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
02.12.25	Saint George - Arba Minch	1:0 ✺
27.11.25	Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Arba Minch - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
04.11.25	Arba Minch - Adama City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLTL
- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
01.12.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Hadiya Hossana	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopian Medhin	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Adama City - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethio Electric	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
02.06.25	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0
04.12.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch	2:0
19.04.23	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna	1:1
27.10.22	Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch	2:0
24.06.22	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0
16.02.22	Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch	0:1
11.04.18	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna	2:0

Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide