Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Addis Abeba Stadium (Addis Abeba)


	Ethiopia Bunna		Ethiopian Medhin

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.58	2.62
	10.12	3.95	1.37	Watch
	2.98	2.81	2.65
	3.1	2.54	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (2.75)	2.97 ↑ (2.7)	2.33 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Bunna
21.4%

Draw
34.5%

Ethiopian Medhin
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

33.2%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

32.7%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopia Bunna's form might have worsened.

Ethiopian Medhin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ethiopian Medhin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopia Bunna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ethiopian Medhin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopian Medhin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ethiopia Bunna (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ethiopia Bunna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', 1 - 3, ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 3.

Ethiopia Bunna is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ethiopian Medhin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ethiopia Bunna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Bunna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
09.11.25	Adama City - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethio Electric	0:1 ✺
28.10.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
23.10.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Negele Arsi Ketema	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Saint George	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTWL
- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
16.11.25	Saint George - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
03.11.25	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
30.10.25	Pyramids - Ethiopian Medhin	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Pyramids	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
23.05.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0
24.01.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0
22.06.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna	1:2
02.02.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopian Medhin	3:0
03.06.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna	2:1
20.12.22	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopian Medhin	0:1

Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopian Medhin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide