Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Addis Abeba Stadium (Addis Abeba)


	Ethiopian Medhin		Arba Minch

	1	X	2
	2	2.82	3.85
	1.99	2.92	4.18
	1.60	3.15	6.65	Watch
	2.05	3.02	3.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.6)	2.98 ↓ (3.15)	4.67 ↓ (6.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopian Medhin
48.8%

Draw
31.3%

Arba Minch
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

29%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopian Medhin's form might have worsened.

Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arba Minch's recent form is better than expected.

Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Gebremichael F. (G) 17. Awlachew D. 12. Erbo A. 23. Ganiyu I. 21. Gebreselassie N. 18. Gezahegn W. 24. Kaiwa A. 3. Kassaye Y. 33. Otulu M. 4. Tute W. 11. Yesouf R.	22. Meried T. (G) 6. Akalu A. 15. Baysa B. 11. Bogale Y. 27. Endeshaw Y. 9. Gizachew B. 18. Gobena A. 10. Iyassu T. 20. Mesfin E. 29. Philip J. 17. Tegegn A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', 🟨,
51', 🟨,
51', 🟥,
61', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Ethiopian Medhin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ethiopian Medhin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ethiopian Medhin has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ethiopian Medhin is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopian Medhin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
03.11.25	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
30.10.25	Pyramids - Ethiopian Medhin	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Pyramids	1:1 ✺
Ethiopian Premier League
20.10.25	Adama City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
27.09.25	Mlandege - Ethiopian Medhin	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WLTTL
- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
04.11.25	Arba Minch - Adama City	0:1 ✺
28.10.25	Ethio Electric - Arba Minch	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Arba Minch - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
23.06.25	Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
03.05.25	Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin	0:2
25.09.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch	0:0
03.04.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch	2:1
05.10.22	Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin	3:4

Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide