Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Ethiopia Bunna		Negele Arsi Ketema

	1	X	2
	2.50	2.65	2.87
	2.52	2.58	2.95
	2.64	2.57	3.03
	2.67	2.6	3.05	Watch
	2.55	2.59	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.56)	2.6 ↓ (2.8)	2.98 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Bunna
35%

Draw
34.7%

Negele Arsi Ketema
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Ethiopia Bunna - Negele Arsi Ketema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Dubale G. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 🟥,
90+6', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ethiopia Bunna has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ethiopia Bunna against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Negele Arsi Ketema	4	2	2	0	5:1	4	8
13	Ethiopia Bunna	4	1	0	3	2:6	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
17.10.26	Saint George - Ethiopia Bunna	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
26.06.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Mekelle 70 Enderta	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTWT
- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
16.10.26	Ethio Electric - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Saint George - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:1 ✺
01.07.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Negele Arsi Ketema	3:0 ✺
26.06.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Sidama Coffee - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
26.02.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1
23.10.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Negele Arsi Ketema	2:1

Ethiopia Bunna - Negele Arsi Ketema