Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ethiopia Bunna		Shire Endaselassie

	1	X	2
	1.73	2.85	5.25
	1.75	2.98	4.95
	1.82	2.91	5.32	Watch
	1.75	2.88	5
	1.77	3.12	5.46
	1.7	2.95	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.92)	2.95 ↑ (2.83)	5.21 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Bunna
51.8%

Draw
30.8%

Shire Endaselassie
17.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.5%

32.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

31.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Bunna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Shire Endaselassie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shire Endaselassie than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Ethiopia Bunna - Shire Endaselassie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Darge D. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Gugsa S. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Abubakar A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 1 - 3, Gugsa S. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Ethiopia Bunna is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Bunna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Ethiopia Bunna	4	1	0	3	2:6	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
31.12.25	Mechal - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
25.12.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Dire Dawa City	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Bunna	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
01.12.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Hadiya Hossana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTTW
- Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopian Premier League
30.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Adama City	0:1 ✺
25.12.25	Ethio Electric - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	Welayta Dicha - Shire Endaselassie	1:1 ✺
01.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
28.02.25	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1
05.11.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Shire Endaselassie	1:1
07.03.20	Ethiopia Bunna - Shire Endaselassie	6:1
05.01.19	Ethiopia Bunna - Shire Endaselassie	1:0

Ethiopia Bunna - Shire Endaselassie