Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday


	Shire Endaselassie		Bahir Dar Kenema

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.88	2.05
	3.94	3	2
	3.88	3.13	1.98	Watch
	3.7	2.75	2.05
	3.69	2.9	2.06
	3.75	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (2.47)	2.96 ↑ (2.88)	2.02 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shire Endaselassie
24.2%

Draw
30.8%

Bahir Dar Kenema
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

31.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

30.5%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shire Endaselassie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shire Endaselassie's form might have worsened.

Bahir Dar Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahir Dar Kenema's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shire Endaselassie than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shire Endaselassie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahir Dar Kenema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Shire Endaselassie - Bahir Dar Kenema Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sihul Shire will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Bahir Dar will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahir Dar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sihul Shire won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Sihul Shire won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopian Premier League
05.12.25	Welayta Dicha - Shire Endaselassie	1:1 ✺
01.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
27.11.25	Dire Dawa City - Shire Endaselassie	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Shire Endaselassie - Mechal	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Shire Endaselassie - Sidama Coffee	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 TWWTL
- Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
06.12.25	Sheger Ketema - Bahir Dar Kenema	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Adama City - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethio Electric	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Saint George	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
04.04.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Shire Endaselassie	0:0
26.11.24	Shire Endaselassie - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:2

Shire Endaselassie - Bahir Dar Kenema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide