Match Info
Premier League - Round 38Date: 3 July 2026, Friday
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Ethiopia Nigd Bank |
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Bahir Dar Kenema |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.75 |
2.75 |
2.50 |
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2.88 |
2.78 |
2.52 |
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2.91 |
2.82 |
2.57 |
Watch |
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2.85 |
2.77 |
2.49 |
Watch |
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2.8 |
2.75 |
2.5 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.84 ↓ (2.88) |
2.77 ↑ (2.75) |
2.52 ↑ (2.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ethiopia Nigd Bank 31.7% | Draw 32.5% | Bahir Dar Kenema 35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+1.3%)Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Bahir Dar Kenema Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Peter S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 79', 1 - 1, Abas A. ⚽,
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Daniel N. ⚽,
- 90+8', 2 - 2, Abas A. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).In recent matches, Ethiopia Nigd Bank has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Bahir Dar is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 48 |
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| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 47 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Bahir Dar Kenema - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.01%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 05.02.26 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 2:2 | | 14.05.25 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Bahir Dar Kenema | 0:0 | | 04.12.24 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 3:0 | | 13.06.24 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Bahir Dar Kenema | 2:2 | | 26.01.24 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 1:2 |
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