Match Info

Premier League - Round 35

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday


	Adama City		Ethiopia Nigd Bank

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.75	2.90
	2.60	2.85	2.65
	2.57	2.64	3.31
	2.75	2.37	3.32	Watch
	2.45	2.62	2.90
	2.51	2.55	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.75)	2.63 ↑ (2.37)	3.05 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adama City
35.7%

Draw
34.5%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

38.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

39.2%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adama City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Sani A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Sisay E. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Daniel N. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Adama City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Adama City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
30.05.26	Sidama Coffee - Adama City	1:0 ✺
21.05.26	Adama City - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Fasil Kenema - Adama City	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Adama City - Shire Endaselassie	4:0 ✺
04.05.26	Mechal - Adama City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLWT
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
29.05.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:0 ✺
15.05.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Sheger Ketema	2:1 ✺
11.05.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Saint George	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
21.01.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City	2:3
25.05.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City	0:2
28.01.25	Adama City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:2
03.03.24	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City	4:1
01.10.23	Adama City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:0
30.04.17	Adama City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1
14.01.17	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City	2:0

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