Match Info

Premier League - Round 37

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday


	Negele Arsi Ketema		Ethiopia Nigd Bank

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.10	4.80
	1.80	3.15	4.20
	1.66	3.40	5.53
	1.94	2.93	4.32	Watch
	1.64	3.28	5.41	Watch
	1.70	3.10	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.18)	3.16 ↑ (2.95)	4.84 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Negele Arsi Ketema
52.4%

Draw
28.8%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.5%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

29.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Negele Arsi Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Negele Arsi Ketema's performance.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ethiopia Nigd Bank might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Negele Arsi Ketema that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ethiopia Nigd Bank could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Negele Arsi Ketema will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Wolde B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 2 - 0, Kemal H. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Negele Arsi Ketema might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Negele Arsi Ketema won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Negele Arsi Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
20.06.26	Sidama Coffee - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:1 ✺
15.06.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Hawassa City	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Welayta Dicha - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0 ✺
21.05.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Shire Endaselassie	0:0 ✺
14.05.26	Mechal - Negele Arsi Ketema	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTTL
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
20.06.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
15.06.26	Adama City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:0 ✺
15.05.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Sheger Ketema	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
01.02.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:2

Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide